�>;��f2L���������7��b劮�bF�P1Ӈ+V���iF������Q��)�>\���е To inform the second assessment, we led the development of new projections of water availability for the UK. CCRA, the UK's first climate change assessment, Projecting future water availability in the UK for the second CCRA. The results from the scenario analyses are intended to provide evidence on the potential challenges for each of the infrastructure sectors (energy, transport, water and waste) through identifying the likely scale of future infrastructure demands and to support the development of infrastructure recommendations that are robust to future uncertainty. New ITRC webinar series marks milestone achievements, New report puts England’s Economic Heartland in pole position for transport decarbonisation by 2050. View past webinars using the links below. 381 0 obj <>stream %PDF-1.5 %���� A GIS-based map to compare water availability, Impacted zones are not restricted to the south-east of England, The relative contribution of different factors in determining the supply/demand balance varies geographically. This assessment was one of four projects commissioned to inform the second UK Climate Change Risk Assessment (CCRA2) Evidence Report, published in July 2016. Please visit our Cookies page for more information about cookies and how we use them. This content has been archived See here for updated content on Water. 0 Introduction. The UK is near the limits of coping with the current climate in some sectors and could be pushed over the edge by climate change. Population, adaptation decisions (including decisions on environmental flow calculations) and climate are the drivers of the availability of water for public water supplies, other sectors and the natural environment that have been explored. These new projections of water availability for the UK enable UK Government to assess the relative severity of impacts under a range of future scenarios. There are several reasons why global water supply is not even. All areas of the UK may be affected by deficits in the water balance either with respect to the environment or to public water supply, or both, depending on the scenario chosen. Under the Climate Change Act 2008, the UK Government must assess the climate-related risks to the UK up to the year 2100. Nov 7, 2017. This methodology is described below along with the extension of this same methodology to the development of an additional 22 scenarios based on the new low and high emissions Future Flow scenarios produced by HR Wallingford. As with earlier projections of climate change, the anticipated spread of future hydrological conditions projected by the FFH scenarios is broad (Prudhomme et al., 2013) and attaching probability to each scenario is not straightforward (Rougier, 2007, Brown and Wilby, 2012). 331 0 obj <> endobj We developed a tool to help us develop, assess and present supply and demand projections for public water for the whole of the UK. endstream endobj 332 0 obj <>/Metadata 27 0 R/Pages 329 0 R/StructTreeRoot 65 0 R/Type/Catalog/ViewerPreferences 351 0 R>> endobj 333 0 obj <>/MediaBox[0 0 595.32 841.92]/Parent 329 0 R/Resources<>/Font<>/ProcSet[/PDF/Text/ImageB/ImageC/ImageI]/XObject<>>>/Rotate 0/StructParents 0/Tabs/S/Type/Page>> endobj 334 0 obj <>stream As part of the ITRC’s analysis of the UK’s future infrastructure requirements a process was developed for applying the 11 Future Flow Hydrology (FFH) scenarios to the NISMOD water model (also known as GBWIM) (Hall et al., 2016). endstream endobj startxref ITRC’s National Infrastructure Systems Model read more, Join us on 12 October at 3 pm for Infrastructure for sustainable international development the third in a series of webinars brought to you by the Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium ... read more, The transport system in central England can reach net zero emissions by 2050 according to a new study for England’s Economic Heartland (EEH), a sub-national transport body and strategic ... read more.
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